Country-Specific Instructions: Pakistan
The changes to your GPR are updated based on the following rules:
- +1: if India’s NW Count is greater than yours.
- +1: if your NW Count is greater than or equal to China’s NW Count.
- +1: if India’s NW Count is greater than China’s NW Count.
- +4: if you suffer a terrorist attack.
Note that each increase is considered separately, e.g. if the first two conditions are fulfilled for a given round, your GPR increases by two. Once the GPR table has been updated and any sanctions have been imposed, the next round begins with negotiations about NW Counts. The specific rules for changing your GPR are not known to any other country, but you are free to share part or all of them with other countries during the diplomacy stage.
Policy Brief and Strategic Considerations:
As Pakistan, you are one of the three countries participating in this simulation that has not signed the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (along with India and North Korea). Your country’s nuclear program dates back to the mid-1980s, when strong support from China allowed you to develop your first nuclear weapon. Currently, your relationship with Russia is friendly and China remains one of your strongest allies, while India is a country you have tense relations with. You conducted nuclear tests in 1998 (just weeks after India conducted nuclear tests close to the border of Pakistan), for which the U.S. imposed sanctions on you (the sanctions were lifted in 2001). Your officials have indicated that they will maintain an arsenal size necessary for minimum nuclear deterrence, keeping only the minimum number of nuclear weapons that can deter an attack from an adversary. Officials have also said that your country will increase the size of its arsenal if India releases plans to do the same. While you have stated a “no-first use against non-nuclear-weapon states” policy, you have not stated a similar policy for nuclear-armed states.
Look over the rules carefully and think about your goals before beginning talks. It may be in your best interest to keep pace with India’s nuclear program, considering your history. China is your ally so, as the smaller, less economically powerful country in the alliance, you do not want China to question your growing nuclear power. You are starting with the lowest NW count (tied with India at 1) but keep in mind the possibility of a terrorist attack if global stockpiles do not decrease. Your goals need to be accomplished through both negotiation and careful managing of your weapons stockpile. Remember when negotiating that you can try to get a third party to put pressure on a target country.